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134,600
'Dead souls' pensioners
Hub analysis estimate
RUB 1.68 billion
Per month fraud value
~$18.7m/month · Hub estimate
$224m+
Annual extraction estimate
~$18.7m × 12 · Hub estimate

Pensioner Population: Official vs Actual

Key Events
Dual accountability dimension

The ghost pensioner scheme operates simultaneously as fraud against the Russian federal budget (RUB 1.68 billion/month extracted through DPR banks, opaque to federal treasury — Hub analysis estimate) and as theft of resources designated for civilian welfare under occupation5 — both potential accountability vectors.

The October 2025 deportation panic was triggered deliberately by the occupation administration to destabilise the elderly population (Centre for the Study of Occupation monitoring) — instrumentalising pensioners' citizenship precarity4 as a tool of social control even while their pension payments are being fraudulently claimed.12

Notes
  1. A decree of 20 March 2025 required Ukrainians in occupied regions to obtain Russian passports by 10 September 2025 or be classified as foreigners, with access to services and property tied to Russian citizenship and expulsion of those who refused. Human Rights Watch, https://www.hrw.org/news/2025/03/25/get-passport-or-leave-russias-ultimatum-ukrainians; Jamestown Foundation, https://jamestown.org/kremlin-using-passportization-to-russify-ukraines-occupied-territories/
  2. Having been coerced into Russian passports, residents face the risk of that citizenship, and its benefits, being stripped away. Meduza, https://meduza.io/en/feature/2025/06/19/a-false-semblance-of-choice
  3. Russia's Migration Policy Concept targets Ukrainian citizens who left the occupied territories, with naturalisation as the primary instrument. OSW Centre for Eastern Studies, https://www.osw.waw.pl/en/publikacje/analyses/2025-10-22/russias-new-migration-policy-concept-security-core
  4. Russia channels large sums into Mariupol pensions, and elderly residents seek Russian passports believing they are required to keep receiving payments. BBC, https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-64887890
  5. Rights groups and international law experts argue Russia's coercive citizenship measures in occupied Ukraine violate the Fourth Geneva Convention and may meet Rome Statute criteria. See notes 1 (Human Rights Watch / Jamestown Foundation) and 2 (Meduza).